Evolution of HIV
- Chimp → human transmission ~1900 gave rise to HIV-1 group M
- Diversified into subtypes that are ~20% different
- evolves at a rate of about 0.1% per year
image: Sharp and Hahn, CSH Persp. Med.
HIV infection
chronic infection:
- $10^8$ cells are infected every day
- the virus repeatedly escapes immune recognition
- integrates into T-cell as latent provirus
image: wikipedia
HIV-1 evolution within one individual
silouhette: clipartfest.com, Zanini at al, 2015. Collaboration with Jan Albert and his group
Accuracy of minor variant frequencies
Population sequencing to track all mutations above 1%
- diverge at 0.1-1% per year
- almost full genomes coverage in 10 patients
- full data set at hiv.tuebingen.mpg.de
Zanini et al, eLife, 2015
Diversity and hitchhiking
- envelope changes fastest, enzymes lowest
- identical rate of synonymous evolution
- diversity saturates where evolution is fast
- synonymous mutations stay at low frequency
Zanini et al, eLife, 2015
Recombination and linkage
Zanini et al, eLife, 2015
Mutation rates and diversity and neutral sites
Zanini et al, Virus Evolution, 2017
Frequent version of previously beneficial mutations
- HIV escapes immune systems
- most mutations are costly
- humans selects for different mutations
- compensation or reversion?
Zanini et al, eLife, 2015
Inference of fitness costs
- mutation away from preferred state with rate $\mu$
- selection against non-preferred state with strength $s$
- variant frequency dynamics: $\frac{d x}{dt} = \mu -s x $
- equilibrium frequency: $\bar{x} = \mu/s $
- fitness cost: $s = \mu/\bar{x}$
Fitness landscape of HIV-1
Zanini et al, Virus Evolution, 2017
Selection on RNA structures and regulatory sites
Zanini et al, Virus Evolution, 2017
The distribution of fitness costs
Zanini et al, Virus Evolution, 2017
Fitness - diversity correlation
Zanini et al, Virus Evolution, 2017
Costly HLA associated positions have high diversity
Zanini et al, Virus Evolution, 2017
No evidence of ongoing replication
- HIV-1 RNA from plasma before treatment started
- HIV-1 DNA gag-p17 from PBMCs after many years of treatment
Brodin et al, eLife, 2016
T-cell turnover is fast in untreated infection
- latent HIV → barcode of a T-cell lineage
- all latent integrated virus derives from late infection
- untreated: T-cell lineages are short lived
- on therapy: T-cell clones live decades
Brodin et al, eLife, 2016
HIV acknowledgments
- Fabio Zanini
- Jan Albert
- Johanna Brodin
- Christa Lanz
- Göran Bratt
- Lina Thebo
- Vadim Puller