Richard A. Neher, Robert Dyrdak, Valentin Druelle, Emma B. Hodcroft and Jan Albert
Swiss Medical Weekly, vol. 150, , 2020
10.4414/smw.2020.20224
Abstract
The authors explore how seasonal variation in transmissibility could modulate a SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. The likely aggregated effect of seasonal variation, infection control measures, and transmission rate variation is a prolonged pandemic wave with lower prevalence at any given time, thereby providing a window of opportunity for better preparation of health care systems.